High impact, excessive U.S. rainfall forecasts from the NWS

1-day (Discussion)

2-Day

3-Day

Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts

24-hour Total
Update (0 to 6 Hrs)
Day 1: First Six Hours (6-12 Hrs)
Day 1: Second Six Hours (12-18 Hrs)
Day 1: Third Six Hours (18-24 Hrs)
Day 1: Fourth Six Hours (24-30 Hrs)

 Model QPFs

NSSL WRF 4 km grid 36 h Total Precipitation (mm)

NSSL Heavy Rain Threat (experimental)

Density of points exceeding QPF 1 in./h during 12-18 UTC
Density of points exceeding QPF 1 in./h during 18-00 UTC
Density of points exceeding QPF 1 in./h during 00-06 UTC
Density of points exceeding QPF 1 in./h during 06-12 UTC
Density of 24h (12-12 UTC) QPF exceeding 3 in.
Density of 24h (12-12 UTC) QPF exceeding 5 in.

Flood Model (1)


GFS + 24 hr Model


1 Day Rain Accumulation (35 mm threshold)

CREST Model

GEOS5 + 24 hr Model